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FG under Buhari borrows N14.86tr owes CBN N15.51tr

The President Muhammadu Buhari-led Federal Government’s total borrowing from the Central Bank of Nigeria through Ways and Means Advances has ballooned to N15.51 trillion, rising by 2,286 per cent in six years, data collated from the CBN have shown.

The N15.51 trillion owed by the Federal Government to the central bank is not part of the country’s total public debt stock, which stood at N33.11 trillion as of March 2021, according to the Debt Management Office (DMO).

The public debt stock comprises the debts of the Federal Government of Nigeria, the 36 state governments and the Federal Capital Territory.

Ways and Means Advances is a loan facility used by the central bank to finance the government in periods of temporary budget shortfalls subject to limits imposed by law.

According to Section 38 of the CBN Act, 2007, the bank may grant temporary advances to the Federal Government in respect of temporary deficiency of budget revenue at such rate of interest as the bank may determine.

The Act says, “The total amount of such advances outstanding shall not at any time exceed five per cent of the previous year’s actual revenue of the Federal Government.

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“All advances shall be repaid as soon as possible and shall, in any event, be repayable by the end of the Federal Government financial year in which they are granted and if such advances remain unpaid at the end of the year, the power of the bank to grant such further advances in any subsequent year shall not be exercisable, unless the outstanding advances have been repaid.”

In the first six months of this year, the Federal Government borrowed N2.4 trillion from the CBN, more than half of what it got in the whole of last year.

The N2.4 trillion is also much higher than five per cent of the Federal Government’s retained revenue of N3.9 trillion in the previous year.

As of June 2015, a month after the President Buhari  came into power, the total government borrowing from the apex bank stood at N648.26 billion.

It jumped from N856.33 bllion in December 2015 to N2.23 trillion in December 2016, the CBN data show.

The total borrowing from the bank grew by N1.08 trillion in 2017 to N3.31 trillion. It rose further from N2.1 trillion in 2018 to N5.41 trillion.

The Federal Government’s borrowing from the CBN surged by 61.18 per cent (N3.31 trillion) to N8.72 trillion at the end of 2019.

Last year, the government turned to the apex bank for a record N4.9 trillion to plug its fiscal financing gap, bringing its total borrowing to N13.11 trillion as of December 2020.

A global credit rating agency, Fitch Ratings, had in January raised concerns over the Federal Government’s repeated recourse to its ways and means facility with the central bank.

According to the agency, the use of central bank financing in Nigeria, which predates the COVID-19 pandemic shock, could raise risks to macro-stability in the context of weak institutional safeguards that preserve the credibility of policymaking and the ability of the central bank to control inflation.

“The CBN’s guidelines limit the amount available to the government under its WMF to five per cent of the previous year’s fiscal revenues.

“However, the FGN’s new borrowing from the CBN has repeatedly exceeded that limit in recent years, and reached around 80 per cent of the FGN’s 2019 revenues in 2020,” it said.

In February, the International Monetary Fund said Nigeria’s monetary policy operational framework should be reformed in the medium term, adding that the central bank financing of budget deficit should be phased out in order to reduce inflation.

“The increasing reliance on CBN overdrafts has come with negative consequences. The financing is costly for the Federal Government at interest rates of MPR plus 300 basis points, and for the CBN, with sterilisation done through the issuance of OMO bills,” it said.

The IMF added that the complete removal of central bank financing of fiscal deficits would require higher domestic revenue mobilisation.

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The Washington-based fund had on April 28, 2020, approved Nigeria’s request for emergency financial assistance of $3.4bn to support the country’s efforts in addressing the severe economic impact of the COVID-19 shock and the sharp fall in oil prices.

In a letter of intent to the IMF, the Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Mrs. Zainab Ahmed, and the CBN Governor, Mr. Godwin Emefiele, said the recourse to central bank financing would be eliminated by 2025.

They added that the existing stock of overdrafts held at the CBN would also be securitised.

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Financial Derivatives Company Limited, Mr. Bismarck Rewane, described N15.51 trillion as ‘quite large’, stressing the need for the government to securitise it.

He said, “N15 trillion is about 45 per cent of the total money supply. So, if, for example, those ways and means advances were securitised today, people will have to invest in government securities and it will reduce the money supply by 45-50 per cent.

“What we need to do is to actually securitise this formally. But I think that right now, the Federal Ministry of Finance or DMO is paying interest on the ways and means advances. So, the effect is that there is a cost to the borrowing, and the central bank is receiving the interest on it.”

According to Rewane, the central bank can easily sell the instruments under open market operations.

He said, “The quantum is quite large but to the extent that interest is being charged on it, it may not be as destabilising as the number may make it appear.

“Two, the amount that has been taken out of liquidity with CRR (cash reserve ratio) compensates mainly for the extra liquidity that is created by these ways and means advances.”

A former member of the CBN Monetary Policy Committee, Prof. Akpan Ekpo, said the government should minimise its usage of central bank financing, adding, “I hope they are borrowing to finance capital projects, not for recurrent expenditure.”

“The ideal thing is to avoid the ways and means facility, and most countries avoid that,” he said.

According to the former Director-General, West African Institute for Financial and Economic Management, the government’s dependence on the WMF creates inflation, crowds out private investment and limits the way the CBN can carry out monetary policy.

He said, “Assuming that they are printing money to do this, then it will be too much money chasing few goods, which will be inflationary. That is why it is good to minimise it; the jump is quite much.

“There is a need for transparency. If they are doing all of this, and they are also borrowing externally, they need to be transparent – telling us what the monies are being used for.

“They are also borrowing a lot from IDA (World Bank), ADB, etc; they are issuing Eurobonds and Sukuk bonds. When it is becoming too many, there is a problem. I hope it is well managed, otherwise, it is not good for the economy.”

The Governor of Edo State, Mr. Godwin Obaseki, had said in April that the Federal Government printed N60bn to augment what the three tiers of government shared in March. The claim was faulted by the CBN governor and the finance minister.

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The MD/CEO, Cowry Asset Management Limited, Mr. Johnson Chukwu, said the central bank borrowing was putting pressure on the exchange rate and the inflation rate, with ‘liquidity that has no productivity attached to it coming into the system’.

He said, “What that means is that the central bank has been struggling with mopping up excess liquidity as a result of injection of liquidity not coming from productive activities but rather from Federal Government’s W&M borrowing.

“In the first five months of this year, total Federal Government revenue was N1.8tn, while expenditure was N4.8tn, leaving a gap of about N3 trillion, which is the reason why you saw that over N2 trillion borrowed from the central bank.”

According to Chukwu, the securitisation of the ways and means advances will further increase the interest obligations of the Federal Government.

“It might be difficult for the Federal Government to securitise those borrowings. The key thing for me is that we need to restructure the fiscal framework of the country so that we take out this dependence by the Federal Government on CBN funding,” he said.

Bloomberg reported on February 16, 2021, that the Federal Government had set the terms for the conversion of its stock of central bank overdrafts into long-term notes in a bid to create transparency around its dependence on that source of funding.

Director-General of DMO, Mrs. Patience Oniha, was quoted as saying that the N10 trillion debt would be exchanged for 30-year notes issued to the central bank, adding that the agreement on timing for the conversion needed to be finalised to get the required approval from the cabinet, at the earliest in the second quarter.

In June, London-based Capital Economics, in a report titled ‘The perils of deficit monetisation in Nigeria’, noted that over the past six years, on average around 55 per cent of annual budget shortfalls had been financed by the CBN.

“Many of the problems plaguing Nigeria’s economy – from high inflation to a persistently overvalued currency – are tied to the government’s sustained reliance on the central bank to cover fiscal financing gaps,” it said. (beadysworld.tv)