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Feb. 25: Coalition’s Poll gives Tinubu victory with 41% votes

With Atiku, Obi, Kwankwaso trailing behind

 Razaq Bamidele
Coalition of 134 Civil Liberty and community based organizations under the umbrella of the Nigerian Human Rights Community (NHRC), has unveiled outcome of a poll conducted to sample opinions of cross section of the people in the country and came up with the verdict that, the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, will win the February 25 presidential election with41 per cent of the votes across the nation.
This was contained in a press conference addressed in Lagos on Thursday by the Secretary-General of the group, Comrade Taiwo Adeleye, who declared that all things been equal, when some factors considered in collating the poll were take into consideration, the outcome of the Saturday, February 25 election is most likely to be in favour of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the APC.
Adeleye was flanked by two other members of the group namely, Comrades Taiwo Ajayi and Popoola Ajayi.
Adeleye’s words: “Out of the 19, 365 respodents interviewed, 7, 940 (41%) are voting for the candidate of the APC, while others prefer Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) with 5,035 (26%), Labour Party (LP) with 4,067 votes (21%), and the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP), 1, 743 (9%), while other parties collectively got 1, 162 (6%) of the respondents.”
The NHRC said the poll revealed that the presidential candidate of the APC, Bola Ahmed Tinubu holds a magnificent lead and is on course to win the 2023 general election coming up on February 25,, adding the poll also confirmed a two-horse race for the second position between Atiku Abubakar of the PDP and Peter obi of the LP while Rabiu Kwankaso of the NNPP came a distant fourth as all othe contestants together scored an insignificant total!
Speaking further, Adeleye stated that, “it is worth noting that, Tinubu’s lead in the four of the most populous state with the highest number of voters in Lagos, Kano, Oyo and Borno states may have contributed to his lead. Tinubu’s lead is sizeable but not unassailable in Kebbi, Bauchi, Katsina, Plateau and River States because as at January 2023, the largest concentration of undecided voters resides in these states and there is a rising disaffection with the ruling party in the states. Therefore, these states are battlegrounds yet to be conquered.”
Analysing the outcome of the poll further, Adeleye asserted that, due to te heterogeneous nature of the respodents, there is an indication that the forthcoming presidential election is just between only three major candidates APC, PDP and LP with Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the APC  as the most dominant and widely accepted candidate followed by Atiku Abubakar of the PDP and Peter Obi of the LP.
According to him however, the gray states (Rivers, Kebbi, Bauchi Plateau and Katsina )which house largely undecided voters and indeferent incumbent governors who are too close to call could sway the outcome of the election in favour of the presidential candidate who is able to harness their voting strength.
The poll, Adeleye disclosed that, was conducted in collaboration with several consultants ahead of the coming general election in Nigeria, disclosing that, the poll took researchers six months to conclude, the result of which experts compiled, analysed and turned into a 44 page handbook entitled:  Nationwide Opinion Poll and Analysis on the February 25th Presidential Election.
On the methodology used in for the research, the spokesman said, “the study employed Ransom Sampling with emphasis on urban and rural population with focal point on the voting ege of 18 and above, with samples of 19, 365 respondents across the 36 states and Federal Capital Territory (FCT).
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